Copa Libertadores Grupo D. Jor. 6

Fluminense vs Sporting Cristal analysis

Fluminense Sporting Cristal
89 ELO 76
-1.6% Tilt 10%
41º General ELO ranking 442º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
76.5%
Fluminense
15%
Draw
8.4%
Sporting Cristal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
Fluminense
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.4%
Win probability
Sporting Cristal
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fluminense
-1%
+3%
Sporting Cristal

ELO progression

Fluminense
Sporting Cristal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jun. 2023
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 1
Bahía
BAH
74%
17%
9%
88 77 11 0
22 Jun. 2023
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 1
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
47%
25%
28%
88 89 1 0
11 Jun. 2023
GOI
Goiás EC
2 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
24%
26%
51%
88 78 10 0
08 Jun. 2023
RIV
River Plate
2 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
29%
26%
46%
89 83 6 -1
04 Jun. 2023
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 1
RB Bragantino
BRA
63%
21%
17%
88 82 6 +1

Matches

Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jun. 2023
CAN
Academia Cantolao
0 - 2
Sporting Cristal
SPC
7%
18%
76%
76 48 28 0
11 Jun. 2023
ALI
Alianza Atl. Sullana
0 - 0
Sporting Cristal
SPC
20%
23%
57%
77 61 16 -1
08 Jun. 2023
STR
The Strongest
1 - 2
Sporting Cristal
SPC
37%
23%
40%
76 69 7 +1
02 Jun. 2023
SPC
Sporting Cristal
4 - 2
Cienciano
CIE
69%
19%
12%
76 63 13 0
29 May. 2023
HUA
Sport Huancayo
1 - 2
Sporting Cristal
SPC
26%
24%
50%
75 66 9 +1