Olimpia vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
OLI
4 - 1
RES
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 0
NAC
42%
25%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
OLI
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 3
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 2
OLI
32%
24%
44%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
MEL
4 - 0
ADT
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 1
BIN
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
MEL
5 - 0
PAT
47%
25%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 2
VAL
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 2
MEL
25%
28%
47%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |